Bengaluru — Gold prices edged lower on Thursday, hovering near record highs, as investors awaited US consumer inflation data due later in the day following weaker-than-expected producer price figures that reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week.
Spot gold was down 0.2% at $3,633.97/oz by 4.11am GMT. Bullion hit a record high of $3,673.95 on Tuesday. US gold futures for December delivery fell 0.3% to $3,671.90.
“Gold seems to be consolidating recent gains as markets wait for US consumer price index [CPI] data and what it’ll mean for Fed rate cut expectations,” said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.
US producer prices unexpectedly fell in August due to lower trade services margins and modest increases in goods costs.
Investors are now focused on US CPI data, due at 12.30pm GMT, with a Reuters poll forecasting a 0.3% monthly increase in August following a 0.2% rise in July. CPI is expected to have grown 2.9% year on year, compared with 2.7% in July. Weaker-than-expected nonfarm payroll data last week, along with revised estimates revealing 911,000 fewer jobs in the 12 months to end-March, have reinforced expectations of monetary easing. Weekly jobless claims data, also due at 12.30pm GMT, will offer further insights into the labour market.
“The trend points higher, but a hot CPI report may boost the dollar, hurt gold prices in the short term, forcing a pullback. Losses may be limited however as markets are unlikely to abandon rate cut bets even if they push them further out along the timeline,” Spivak said.
The Fed is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) at its meeting next Wednesday, while investors also priced in a slim possibility of 50bp reduction, as per CME FedWatch tool.
Lower interest rates typically support non-yielding gold. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump’s administration appealed on Wednesday a federal judge’s ruling that temporarily blocked the dismissal of Fed governor Lisa Cook.
Elsewhere, spot silver was down 0.1% at $41.10/oz. Platinum fell 0.2% to $1,383.50 and palladium steadied at $1,173.45.
Reuters
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