New Zealand could end bailouts as floods and landslides worsen

Its government has spent billions in recent years as climate-change-driven weather events grow more frequent and intense

New Zealand's Prime Minister Christopher Luxon. Picture: Tracey Nearmy
New Zealand's Prime Minister Christopher Luxon. Picture: Tracey Nearmy

Wellington — The New Zealand government is considering ending bailouts for homeowners affected by floods and landslides as it develops a framework for addressing the effect of climate change.

The government has often stepped in after natural disasters to buy properties, spending billions of dollars in recent years as climate-change-driven severe weather events increase in intensity and frequency.

The government “won’t be able to keep bailing out people in this way,” New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher Luxon told state-owned Radio New Zealand this week.

“We need to find a way to manage these events going forward and who takes responsibility and is there a shared responsibility.”

His comments come as parts of the South Island start cleaning up after floods earlier this month, which affected roughly 800 homes, according to local authorities. On Wednesday, the government announced NZ$600,000 ($356,700) in compensation for flood-affected farmers, growers and forestry owners.

By 2060 at least 14,500 homes worth about NZ$12.5bn could suffer at least one damaging flood, about 300 to 400 homes annually, according to Climate Sigma research.

Climate minister Simon Watts said in an email that the government had been working to get bipartisan support on a national adaptation framework to give New Zealand certainty.

“This is complex and challenging work,” he said. “It is important that any change is enduring.”

Any policy changes would be likely to be introduced slowly. A recent independent report commissioned by the environment ministry suggested a transition over 20 years to allow pricing to adjust as expectations of government bailouts were tempered.

For Graham McIntyre, the problem of flooding was immediate with water surging through his property when it rained heavily.

“It is like a wave that comes through,” he said, explaining the land he bought 25 years ago north of Auckland had three rivers running through it.

He said wanted authorities to buy his house in Taupaki and to relocate the nearby town centre. Both were flooded in 2023.

‘Can’t do anything’

For some time, policymakers, researchers and property experts both in New Zealand and Australia have warned that climate change is a risk that home buyers have not priced in.

The environment ministry’s report recommended including the need for more information about the potential effect of natural hazards so owners can make their own decisions about whether to move or stay and bear the costs of that decision. Property records in New Zealand increasingly note whether there is a flood or landslide risk or history of either, and homeowners in vulnerable areas are worried their houses will become less valuable.

“You can’t do anything,” McIntyre said. “You can’t sell up. You can’t change it.”

Kelvin Davidson, chief property economist at Cotality, said it was difficult to gauge the effect of growing climate risks on property prices due to limited data on events such as flooding and varying acceptance of risk by buyers.

“The rubber is not hitting the road in terms of pricing,” he said.

Reuters

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