Gold steady as traders await US data

Economic reports due for release this week may shed more light on the Fed’s rate path

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Brijesh Patel

Gold prices steadied on Tuesday after reaching a record high, underpinned by expectations of more US rate cuts and a weaker dollar as investors awaited Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell's speech for further policy cues.
Picture: SUPPLIED (africaimages.com Olga Yastremska, Africa Images/ File photo)

Bengaluru — Gold prices inched higher on Monday as investors waited for a series of US economic data this week that could shed more light on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path.

Spot gold was up 0.1% at $4,083.92/oz by 2.56am GMT. US gold futures for December delivery eased 0.2% to $4,085.30/oz.

“The selling pressure on gold last Friday was probably a bit overdone, hence we are seeing a rebound in the price action today,” said KCM Trade chief market analyst Tim Waterer.

“Scaled-back rate-cut expectations from the Fed for next month are effectively hampering gold from a yield point of view. Even though the shutdown has ended, there is no guarantee that markets or indeed the Fed will have full visibility over how the economy has been performing.”

Market participants are awaiting US data releases this week, including the September nonfarm payrolls report on Thursday, for clues on the health of the world’s largest economy.

The commerce department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis said on Friday it was working to update its schedule of economic data releases affected by the recently ended government shutdown.

Traders are currently pricing in a 46% probability of a quarter-point Fed rate cut next month, down from 50% last week.

Citing worries about inflation and signs of relative stability in the labour market after two interest rate cuts this year, a growing number of Fed policymakers are signalling reticence on further easing.

Non-yielding gold tends to do well in a low-interest-rate environment and during times of economic uncertainties.

Meanwhile, the dollar index held firm against its rivals, making gold less attractive for other currency holders.

SPDR Gold Trust GLD, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings fell 0.47% to 1,044.00 metric tonnes on Friday from 1,048.93 tonnes on Thursday.

Elsewhere, spot silver rose 0.8% to $50.96/oz, platinum gained 0.7% to $1,552.36 and palladium climbed 1.7% to $1,408.13.

Reuters


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