Escalating US-Iran tension reignites gold rally

Geopolitical tension returns shine to safe-haven asset

Gold bars. (Zlaťáky.cz/Unsplash)

By Ishaan Arora

Gold prices extended gains on Wednesday on safe-haven appeal, as renewed geopolitical tension between the US and Iran added to the yellow metal’s recent upswing that saw it mark its best day since 2008 in the previous session.

Spot gold gained 2.7% to$5,071.79/oz by 3.53am GMT, after surging 5.9% on Tuesday, its biggest daily gain since November 2008. Bullion scaled a record high of $5,594.82 last Thursday.

US gold futures for April delivery climbed 3.2% to $5,092.00/oz.

“Gold has climbed back about the key $5,000 level, ... [as] geopolitical tensions have lifted the metal’s safe-haven appeal after US forces downed an Iranian drone,” said Jigar Trivedi, a senior research analyst at IndusInd Securities.

The US military on Tuesday shot down an Iranian drone that “aggressively” approached the Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea, the US military said, in an incident first reported by Reuters.

Nuclear talks between the US and Iran are expected to take place in Oman on Friday, Axios reporter Barak Ravid said on Tuesday, citing an Arab source.

Elsewhere, US President Donald Trump on Tuesday signed a spending deal into law that ends a partial US government shutdown, which had delayed key labour data reports that were due for release this week.

Investors expect at least two Fed interest rate cuts in 2026 and await ADP private payroll data later in the day for more cues on the Fed’s policy path. Nonyielding bullion tends to perform better in low-interest-rate environments.

“Going ahead [gold] prices may touch $5,100 in the very near term ... and we are expecting the same $5,600 levels by the end of the first half or April-end while prices will continue to rise thereafter and our year-end target is $6,000/oz,” Trivedi added.

The current wave is expected to be sharp, probably to surge into the $4,950-$5,198 range, Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao said on Tuesday.

Spot silver rose 3.2% to $87.84/oz. It touched a record high of $121.64 on Thursday.

Spot platinum added 2.9% to $2,273.70.oz after hitting an all-time high of $2,918.80 on January 26, while palladium gained 3% to $1,784.67.

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