Sydney — Asian shares climbed on Monday as markets wagered the Federal Reserve was done raising US interest rates, and on hopes the steady drip feed of policy stimulus from Beijing would be enough to at least stabilise the Chinese economy.
A holiday in the US made for thin trading before key readings on US services and Chinese trade and inflation later in the week.
More policy action is also expected from Beijing, including relaxing restrictions on home buying.
There was relief that embattled property developer Country Garden won approval from its creditors to extend payments for an onshore private bond.
“Chinese newspapers reported a jump in real estate transactions in Beijing and Shanghai at the weekend after the cuts to mortgage rates and down-payment ratios,” wrote analysts RBC Capital Markets.
“Whether this bounce will continue remains to be seen, but it has given China equities a shot in the arm.”
Chinese blue chips reacted by rising another 1.3%, on top of last week’s 2.2% bounce.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan added 1.1%, having climbed 2.3% last week. Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.5%, after rallying 3.4% last week.
The broader Topix jumped 3.7% last week to its highest in 33 years, helped by data showing companies made record profits in the June quarter.
Yet the Topix still only has a price to earnings ratio of 14, compared with 23 for the S&P 500 and 29.5 for the Nasdaq.
Investor sentiment on the tech sector will be tested this week by the initial public offering for chip giant Arm Holdings, which is aiming for a price in the range of $47 to $51, valuing the company at $50bn-$54bn.
Benign report
S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were both 0.1% higher. Euro Stoxx 50 futures added 0.3% and FTSE futures rose 0.4%.
Stocks had firmed on Friday after a benign August US payrolls report hardened expectations for an end to rate hikes.
While the headline jobs number topped forecasts, downward revisions to the previous two months and a dip in wage growth pointed to a loosening in the labour market.
The jobless rate also jumped as more people went looking for work, leaving the vacancies to unemployed ratio at its lowest since September 2021.
“This continued rebalancing of the labour market is consistent with our view that the July hike in the Fed funds rate was the last of the cycle,” wrote analysts at Goldman Sachs.
“We continue to expect unchanged policy at both the September and November federal open market committee (FOMC) meetings.”
The market seemed to agree as futures now imply a 93% chance of rates staying steady this month and a 67% probability that the entire tightening cycle is over.
Treasuries initially rallied on the jobs data, but soon ran into selling and longer-dated yields ended Friday higher. There was no trading in cash Treasuries on Monday, but futures eased a little further.
At least seven Federal Reserve officials are due to speak this week before the next policy meeting on September 19-20.
Central banks in Canada and Australia hold their own meetings this week and both are expected to hold rates steady.
The head of the European Central Bank, Christine Lagarde, is speaking later on Monday, with the market now leaning against a hike at its September meeting after a run of soft data.
The relative outperformance of the US economy underpinned the dollar at ¥146.16, not far from its recent 10-month peak of 147.37. The euro looked vulnerable at $1.0782 , just a whisker from its recent low and major support at $1.0765.
In commodities, gold benefited from the diminished risk of a US rate rise to stand at $1,944 an ounce.
Oil prices were near seven-month highs on tightening supply as Saudi Arabia was widely expected to extend a voluntary 1-million barrel per day oil production cut into October.
Brent firmed 3c to $88.58 a barrel, while US crude rose 8c to $85.63 per barrel.
Reuters
Would you like to comment on this article?
Sign up (it's quick and free) or sign in now.
Please read our Comment Policy before commenting.